Looking at 2025, Climate: Bleak forecast, adaptation way forward The hope of keeping global warming under the 1.5 degree Celsius limit is all but dead. The kind of emissions cuts required to keep this goal alive is unlikely to be achieved. But this is not the end o

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The year 2024 was when the world all but gave up on its effort to restrict global warming within 1.5 degree Celsius from the pre-industrial average, one of the key goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change. Ironically, 2024 is also set to emerge as the year when the annual average global temperature breached the 1.5 degree Celsius threshold for the first time. There is nothing sacrosanct about the 1.5 degree threshold. The devastating impacts of climate change have already begun to play out at much lower levels of warming. When the world had agreed on the 1.5 degree target in the Paris Agreement, as something worth pursuing in addition to the main 2 degree goal, it was under the impression there was sufficient time on hand. After all, the temperature rise had not hit the 1 degree mark at that time. However, the planet has warmed at a much faster rate after that, and the absence of any meaningful climate action during this time has meant that the 1.5 degree target is well beyond reach now. 2024-12-26 By Ravindra Kumar Tiwari

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